Navigator logo

Month: October 2025

It took the Royals far too long to reach the right answer on Andrew

Posted on by

There’s a maxim in crisis management: in moments of reputational jeopardy, go to “endgame” fast.

If someone must be fired or demoted, if an apology is owed, if a line must finally be drawn — do it as quickly and humanely as possible. Don’t dribble out half-measures and euphemisms. Don’t wait. Don’t hope the smell dissipates on its own.

Because it won’t. The longer you dither, the worse it gets.

The House of Windsor has demonstrated that truth in real time. Every extra year, month, minute Prince Andrew retained even a trace of title or privilege — and every cent that could be traced, directly or indirectly, to the public purse — the institution paid compounding interest on reputational damage.

Instead of moving decisively, the palace took the slowest walk to the most obvious conclusion. And they are now paying the penalty for that hesitation.

Let’s recap this slow-moving car crash. In 2011, Andrew’s friendship with convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein came to light, and he stepped down as the U.K.’s special trade envoy. Years later, in 2019, came the infamous BBC “Newsnight” interview — an exercise in self-immolation — in which he claimed he had “no recollection” of ever meeting Virginia Roberts Giuffre, despite the now-famous photo with his arm around her; insisted he could not sweat; and otherwise strained credulity through plain old blubbering.

In the aftermath, he was stripped of the “His Royal Highness” style.

But recent events delivered the coup de grâce. An email surfaced showing Andrew remained in contact with Epstein long after he suggested the relationship had ended — chummily and revoltingly promising they would “play more soon” and were “in it together.” On top of that, Giuffre’s posthumous memoir, “Nobody’s Girl,” landed in Britain with detailed allegations of her encounters with Andrew.

The result: Andrew has now been stripped of the “prince” title, all other honours removed, and he’s being shown the door at Royal Lodge.

I’m counting well past three strikes.

You could argue royalty does not play by the same rules as everybody else. But no one is exempt from the rules of public favour. And public favour is the monarchy’s oxygen.

By avoiding endgame and choosing a drip-by-drip discipline — another style stripped here, a privilege removed there, a wincing statement when the headlines flared — the Royal Family didn’t just fail to cauterize the wound, it allowed it to keep reopening and reopening. And each partial step invited the same question: Do they actually understand the gravity of this?

Moving to endgame fast matters because it signals just that understanding. It shows the people in charge grasp the scale of the wrongdoing and are acting — not managing optics, not protecting one of their own, but protecting the standard.

Linger, and you communicate the opposite: an irrational attachment to the person over the principle.

Of course, families are anything but rational. They are complicated, sentimental, and often forgiving to a fault. That may be the best argument for why it took so long; but it is no excuse. In leadership — especially where one’s legitimacy rests on trust — mercy cannot outrun accountability.

There’s another, frequently overlooked, reason to get to endgame: it is better for the person you’re cutting loose. It gives them a finality that allows them to move on, instead of living on permanent probation and relapsing into fresh embarrassments that drag everyone back to the beginning.

Several currents finally converged this week. The King was publicly heckledabout Andrew. The Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, broke with the usual kid-glove deference and endorsed proper scrutiny of Andrew’s peppercorn lease at Royal Lodge; the Public Accounts Committee duly asked for documents. And, if palace whispers are right, the generational gears engaged: William and Catherine pressed for a clean break.

They’re not wrong to see urgency. Only four working royals are under the age of 70. The institution’s future depends on a smaller, harder-working cadre who cannot afford reputational freeloaders.

Monarchy survives on public standing — and on the judgment to protect it. At last, the next generation seems to have decided that the endgame had arrived.

It should have been reached years ago. But late, I suppose, is better than never.

For Mark Carney, when it comes to selling trade policy, the best defence is a good offence

Posted on by

Your boss walks out of a long, protracted set of negotiations with a deal that’s absolutely vital to your future.

They have two options for how to characterize what they’ve achieved.

Option one. “We got the best deal.”

Option two. “We got the best deal … possible. Under the circumstances. In light of all the pressure. Not to mention the mountain of leverage our opponent was hanging over our heads!”

If you don’t find option two particularly inspiring, you’re not alone. But that, in essence, is exactly the kind of message the boss of Canada’s economy, Mark Carney, will have to deliver as he prepares to sell his government’s trade policy with the United States and China — our two most consequential, and most complicated, economic partners.

That challenge applies to whatever emerges from Carney’s trip to Asia this week, where he’ll likely meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping in hopes of easing long-standing trade disputes. But it applies most directly to any announcement of a long-awaited U.S. — Canada sectoral trade deal — once, that is, U.S. President Donald Trump’s temper tantrum over Ontario’s Reagan-themed antitariff ads subsides.

Of course, choices like the one I began this column with are invented luxuries. But they make the point. There is a world of difference between communicating from a position of strength and one of constraint.

How to best communicate from that latter position — how to balance acknowledging the limits of Canada’s leverage while projecting strategic competence — is a question that has defined much of this young government’s tenure.

As Prime Minister Mark Carney told reporters before embarking on his first official visit to Asia on Friday, “Look for months we have stressed the importance of distinguishing things we can control and the things we can’t control. We can’t control the trade policy of the United States.”

That’s a message designed to elicit a little sympathy and understanding, to remind Canadians their government is doing the best it can dealing with a radically unpredictable partner. But over the next few weeks, that message will be tested like never before.

Because nowhere is this challenge more acute than in selling a sectoral trade deal negotiated under duress. When the bargaining partner is the same force driving the instability in the first place; when key sectors are certain to emerge bruised; when the wine, inevitably, must be watered down.

The announcement of any sectoral trade deal won’t just be another stage in the wider negotiations with the U.S., it will be a stress test for the government’s entire communication strategy, credibility, and command of the national story.

And to pass that test, the Carney government needs to remember only one thing: the best defence is a good offence.

On an issue like this, the opposition has only two credible messages that matter. First, to point out the flaws of the deal; second, and more importantly, to insist, “we could have done better.”

Opposition leader Pierre Poilievre will argue he would have driven a harder bargain, saved more Canadian jobs, stood toe-to-toe with Donald Trump without blinking, and resolved everything much sooner.

The Liberals shouldn’t waste energy denying the imperfections of the deal. Instead, they should go on the attack and ask him: how?

How exactly does one outflank a protectionist White House? How does an opposition leader who has never sat at a diplomatic negotiating table imagine he’d do better against the most unpredictable U.S. president in modern memory?

That’s the counterpunch Carney needs to throw.

Canadians understand we don’t live in a perfect world. Canadians understand this government is not playing with the best of hands. And a successful offensive strategy will remind Canadians that while they may not like the hand they’ve been dealt, they trust the person playing it more than anyone else.

The fact is, governments sometimes need reminding they don’t need to play defence 24/7. There are moments when going on the offence, when holding the opposition’s feet to the fire for a change, is necessary.

When the opposition’s entire case rests on a hypothetical — a Monday-morning quarterback’s fantasy of a “better deal” that never existed — that’s exactly when you stop defending and go on the attack.

The generals’ summit wasn’t about war abroad — it was about control at home

Posted on by

I’ll admit that it can be challenging to know when to write about the Trump administration. It’s like having a noisy neighbour: for the sake of your sanity, oftentimes it’s simply best to ignore them. Other times, you simply have to name the behaviour for what it is.

That time is now.

When it became known the Trump administration had summoned the nation’s top generals and admirals from around the world to gather at a mysterious event in Quantico, Virginia, conspiracy theories swirled. Perhaps it was to formulate battle plans for World War Three. Maybe it was to announce a new foreign deployment or signal some global provocation.

But, as we have come to expect from the administration, the truth was stranger than fiction. What unfolded at Quantico was not the unveiling of plans for war abroad, but a chilling signal aimed inward, at America itself.

It wasn’t the usual spectacle of U.S. President Donald Trump’s rhetoric that set this gathering apart. Yes, there were the predictable broadsides against “woke” policies, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s glorification of the “warrior spirit,” and tired justifications for renaming the Department of Defense back to the “Department of War.” Trump even dusted off his greatest hits: Biden’s autopen, the Nobel Peace Prize and even Canada as the “51st state,”

All of that was predictable theatre.

What was new was this: America’s military leadership was told their next priority would not be overseas in some conflict-ridden corner of the globe, but home in the United States — specifically in those cities run by Democratic mayors. The likes of Washington, Chicago and Portland, which by Trump’s logic are breeding grounds for chaos and “career criminals” where police have lost control. Democratic idylls that, to any God-fearing MAGA follower, must be hellscapes. And that Trump suggested should serve as “training grounds” for troops to combat “the enemy within.”

Some of the greatest writers and theorists of the 20th century attempted to define fascism. For Walter Benjamin, it is the “introduction of esthetics into political life.” For (the sociologist) Michael Mann, a “movement of the lesser intelligentsia.” For Robert Paxton, the “most self-consciously visual of all political forms … a chauvinist demagogue haranguing an ecstatic crowd.”

And it is all those things. Hegseth’s pointed emphasis on male grooming, his disdain for “fat generals,” his obsession with male fitness standards — all reinforce these points.

But fascism isn’t just pageantry, to function it requires the hard machinery of power and intimidation: the military itself.

The U.S. armed forces, with its tradition of political neutrality, stands as one of the final institutions resistant to Trump’s project of total partisan capture. Last week, that firewall showed signs of cracking.

The message from Quantico was unmistakable: the defenders of democracy, both at home and abroad, are now to become enforcers of the MAGA agenda.

Actions speak louder than words and Trump and Hegseth’s words were meant to drive action. More boots on the ground in American cities. Soldiers patrolling not in a foreign nation but on domestic streets. To intimidate Americans into submission under Trump’s rule and, yes, to pick up trash when they have nothing better to do.

That is about as unmistakable a step toward fascist rule as one can imagine.

Unlike his first term, the safeguards on Trump’s ambitions are now exceedingly thin. But if the impassive looks on those generals and admirals were any indication, hope rests in the men and women who swore an oath to protect the U.S. Constitution from all enemies, foreign and domestic.

Trump himself put the stakes in stark relief when he said: “It’s a war from within. We have to handle it before it gets out of control.”

He’s dead right about one thing: there is a war from within. The question now is who’s waging it — and on whom?

Cyber Security Concerns Are Growing: Discover’s Ontario Fraud Pulse 2025

Posted on by

Ontario’s large population, dynamic economic activity and high volume of e-commerce activity make it a hotspot for financial fraud and scams. To better understand how Ontarians are experiencing this threat, Discover—the research arm of Navigator—recently surveyed 4,800 residents across the province.

This brief report explores rising concerns about financial fraud through key demographic lenses. For example, while almost three-quarters (64%) of Ontarians overall feel more vulnerable to financial fraud than just a few years ago, we found that women, Boomers and immigrants to Canada report higher vulnerability.

Whether you work in government, business or civil society these data offer actionable insights to support more informed decision-making.

Download the report below—and if you would like support turning insights into strategy, the Discover and Navigator teams are just a conversation away.