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Federal Budget 2023

A (Too?) Timid Response to Challenging Times

Budget 2023 notionally delivers the response that had been expected of the government to address affordability issues facing Canadian families, reflects recent intergovernmental agreements on health care funding, and addresses the US administration’s “green industrial policy” investments. In actuality, the budget seems too timid a response to too many disparate policy and political imperatives to make a meaningful impact on any single one of them.

From a political perspective, the suite of measures aimed at addressing the rising cost of living is understandable. Exclusive public opinion data collected by Discover by Navigator in the days leading up to today’s budget confirm that addressing cost of living issues was the top priority of Canadians at 39 per cent, beating out lowering taxes (21 per cent) and reducing government spending (20 per cent). These measures will also serve to buttress the deal negotiated a year ago with the New Democratic Party, notably the additional investments in dental care – a long-standing NDP priority.

Like Budget 2022, which was shaped by rising inflation and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Budget 2023 is more a response to outside pressures than the expression of the Government of Canada’s desired policy direction. The question is whether the measures announced today will constitute a robust enough response to the Biden Administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, the demands of our increasingly strained health care system or the still-too-heavy burden of the rising cost of living on family budgets to make a meaningful; difference. Only time will tell, which may, in the end, be the one thing the government was playing for in designing this budget.

You can download our budget analysis here.

For more analysis, or support engaging government on any of the budget announcements, contact your Navigator team or reach out at info@navltd.com

Public policy must keep up with advances in deepfake technology

Generative AI represent a threat different from those posed by social media, the internet and other innovations we have failed to adequately legislate

Like any good tourist, U.S. President Joe Biden was only searching for an authentic Canadian experience. And here they are, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and thrill-seeking Joe, white water rafting on the Ottawa River. A six-pack of Canadian dangles over the raft’s edge and Biden’s wearing that trademark toothy grin. Just a couple of buddies enjoying the outdoors. Even the beavers are applauding.

Is it a scene from the latest Monkman? Fantasy or a nightmare? Dream or reality? Can’t tell? Welcome to 2023, ladies and gentlemen.

If you think the image I describe cannot be generated then you haven’t been paying attention to the menace that is deepfake technology.

And here’s your news flash: while we can be amused by the fun such a picture can create, there is nothing funny in the least about its threat to people’s privacy, safety, sanity, and our very way of life.

Some moments in history demand a comprehensive public policy response to extinguish nascent, but dangerous, developments.

We are at that moment.

Make no mistake, the latest advancements in generative AI represent a threat entirely different from those posed by social media, the internet, and other innovations we have failed to adequately legislate over the last two decades.

Case in point. As rumours swirled that Donald Trump was to be arrested in New York this week, hyperrealistic images of him being aggressively detained circulated on social media. They were provocative, jarring, totally fake and precisely the kind of thing that has the potential not only to kick-start a virtual media storm but genuine civil unrest.

These developments also give numerous crimes, including doxing, extortion, and intellectual property theft a frightening upgrade — imperilling the livelihoods of not just politicians or celebrities but all of us.

The bottom line? Canadian institutions must move with urgency, and develop policies that lead, rather than wait, on this critical matter.

While we can’t put the genie back in the bottle, there are important steps that should have been taken yesterday. First, we must enhance our legal framework. Legislation should be clearly amended to criminalize malicious deepfake creation and distribution. Here we should follow Quebec’s lead. Quebec’s Civil Code already provides a remedy for invasion of privacy using a person’s name, image, likeness, or voice, and this concept should be broadly implemented.

Public-private collaboration is paramount. Partnerships between government, tech companies, and academia focused specifically on improving deepfake detection and prevention technologies, will help combat the threat. Internet companies have been using sophisticated AI to combat deepfakes on their platforms for years now. Our government needs to lean on the expertise of the tech sector which, frankly, knows this issue better than they do.

Education is also vital. Implementing digital literacy and public awareness campaigns about deepfakes and their potential consequences will empower Canadians to play an active role in combating them. News and social media sites should be encouraged to implement systems for flagging doctored images that will help users distinguish between genuine and manipulated content.

Finally, we must seek out international co-operation. Shared norms and strategies for combating deepfakes will ensure a more effective and co-ordinated response to the borderless nature of the deepfake threats. By advocating for global standards that address the deepfake challenge, we make it harder for malicious actors to exploit jurisdictional differences to evade consequences. Here Canada can play an important role and, jokes aside, I hope the topic was raised between Biden and Trudeau this week.

Deepfakes underscore the necessity for government intervention during times of great technological change.

Safeguarding our democratic institutions, protecting individual privacy, and maintaining social cohesion are fundamental responsibilities of government. Tackling the deepfake threat is critical to preserving the integrity of our political discourse and building a more secure future for all citizens, so they feel safe not only in their everyday lives but in cyberspace too.

This article first appeared in the Toronto Star on March 26, 2023.

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Budget Day (w/ Laura Stone, Colin D’Mello and Brayden Akers)

On Thursday, Finance Minister Peter Bethlenfalvy presented his third provincial budget – signalling a shift in focus from COVID-19 to weathering the coming economic headwinds. On this week’s episode of Political Traction, Adam is joined by Laura Stone, Queen’s Park reporter for the Globe and Mail, Colin D’Mello, Queen’s Park Bureau Chief for Global News and President of the Queen’s Park Press Gallery and Navigator’s very own Brayden Akers, to unpack Budget 2023.

When fighting Goliathes, Canada should be David

“To fully exploit the opportunities, we must be prepared to spend not millions, but billions. Not on broad subsidies, but on laser-targeted incentives.”

By these numbers alone, it’s clear that Canada cannot aim to simply duplicate such programs. But although we cannot match the U.S. dollar for dollar, we can and should focus our limited resources on specific areas where we know we can contribute an indispensable component in newly forming supply chains. Though we will never be Goliath, surely we can be David.

Therefore, third and finally, we must find and loudly trumpet where we punch above our weight.

Case in point. Last week’s announcement that Volkswagen will construct its first North American “gigafactory” in St. Thomas, Ont., for battery cell manufacturing is a major victory. This is not an anomaly but a road map.

A recent Clean Energy Canada report highlighted that Canada, with the right approach, can become an electric vehicle battery powerhouse — with $48 billion flowing into our economy annually.

Why? Because all the indispensable ingredients are right here in the True North, Strong and Free. A domestic supply of necessary critical minerals. A highly educated workforce. Political stability. Free trade agreements. Low carbon electricity in our manufacturing heartland. It’s a golden opportunity, and irrespective of Biden’s vast carrot patch south of the border, businesses like VW have taken notice.

To fully exploit these opportunities, we must be prepared to spend not millions, but billions. Not on broad subsidies, but on laser-targeted incentives. And let’s be clear: this kind of bold and committed action, the kind our reality demands, is exactly what government is for.

In the biblical tale of David and Goliath, diminutive David understood that he had one advantage, not size or strength, but his sling. If Canada intends to avoid being trampled by our competitors, we must pick up our rocks, aim high and start slinging.

This article first appeared in the Toronto Star on March 20, 2023.

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Is TikTok’s time up? (w/ Chris Nardi)

Last month, the federal government banned TikTok from being installed on all government-issued devices, citing security concerns related to the app’s ownership by a company with close ties to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). This week, Adam Owen is joined by Chris Nardi, parliamentary reporter for the National Post, to discuss the government’s decision and its framing within the larger issue of CCP’s interference in Canada’s internal affairs.