COVID-19 Monitor

Last Updated:October 15, 2020

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Scientists vs politicians: the reality check for ‘warp speed’ vaccine research (FT) Published on: May 22, 2020 | Category: Economic Impact, Global Response

Hollywood-style messages from politicians about beating the pandemic downplay the technical complexity.
Hope that a coronavirus vaccine might be ready “prior to the end of the year” was even quicker than the optimistic — but often repeated — timeline for a vaccine to be ready in 12 to 18 months.
But many scientists feel a duty to dampen the enthusiasm. They say a vaccine could take much longer because little is known about the disease and how bodies will react to attempts at immunisation.
In fact, some warn we may never create a vaccine for Covid-19.

COVID-19 roundup: RIP the office (The Logic) Published on: May 21, 2020 | Category: Canadian Business

Shopify CEO Tobi Lütke announced his company will keep its offices closed until 2021, and that most of the firm’s 5,000 staff will permanently work from home.
Facebook announced similar working arrangements on Thursday, giving new recruits the option to work remotely and soon allowing current employees to request to do the same.
Shopify leases more than 1.3 million square feet of office space in Canada, and spent US$29.3 million on lease expenses last year.

Ontario needs to ‘massively scale up’ testing with 2nd wave of COVID-19 almost inevitable, experts say (CBC) Published on: May 21, 2020 | Category: Canadian Business

After about three weeks of new infections seemingly trending downward, the past week has seen a steady increase in its five-day rolling average.
“As we try to get our economy back on its feet, we are very, very likely to experience surges in disease,” said infectious disease physician Dr. David Fisman, adding his team believes Toronto is already experiencing one now.
On Thursday, B.C.’s top doctor Bonnie Henry pointed out there has never been a pandemic in recorded history that hasn’t had a second wave.

Will antibody tests be our passport to normality? (FT) Published on: May 21, 2020 | Category: Global Response

In March, the UK government announced it would make millions of at-home antibody tests available via Amazon and in high-street pharmacies.
Those who tested positive would be given “immunity passports”, enabling them to re-enter the workforce and everyday life.
Underpinning the initial fanfare was a misguided hope that a large chunk of the population had contracted coronavirus but experienced only mild-to-moderate symptoms or none at all.

Americans Give Higher Ratings to South Korea and Germany Than U.S. for Dealing With Coronavirus (Pew Research Center) Published on: May 21, 2020 | Category: Global Response

In contrast, most believe China – where the pandemic is believed to have originated – has done an only fair or poor job.
Overall, 47% of adults say the United States has done a good or excellent job of handling the outbreak, but just 27% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents hold that view, compared with 71% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
Americans largely agree the U.S. should look beyond its borders for ideas to combat the coronavirus.

New data will track reopening in real time (Reuters Breaking Views) Published on: May 21, 2020 | Category: Economic Impact

Novel data sources have sprung up that provide real-time information traditional statistics can’t offer. Some may have staying power.
Mobility reports track how much iPhone and Android users walk, drive cars, take public transit or go to workplaces compared to what used to be normal.
Similarly, Harvard researchers have put together a site that tracks consumer spending, small business closures and job postings at local, state and national levels. It shows lifting lockdowns may not result in a quick bounce back.
Despite Georgia’s aggressive reopening, for example, consumer spending is still down 20%.

All 50 States Are Now Reopening. But at What Cost? (NY Times) Published on: May 20, 2020 | Category: Global Response

The United States has crossed an uneasy threshold with all 50 states beginning to reopen in some way, two months after the coronavirus thrust the country into lockdown.
The White House has said that states should have a “downward trajectory” of cases over a 14-day period before reopening, but many states reopened well short of meeting those benchmarks.
Mississippi saw its largest single-day increase in reported cases and deaths only after the state began to reopen.
Researchers expect that reopening the United States could cause thousands of additional deaths, while also saving several million jobs, a balancing act that has swung more toward the economy in recent weeks.

Spelling out the economic recovery options as the world starts to reopen from COVID-19 (CBC) Published on: May 20, 2020 | Category: Canadian Business, Economic Impact

As economies around the world take their first, tentative steps toward restarting, Canadians are beginning to wonder what life may look like on the other side of this pandemic.
Will the recovery look like a V or more like a U? What about a Nike “swoosh” or something wobbly like a W? Or the worst case scenario — will we take the dreaded L?
“There’s virtually no one who thinks there will be a V-shape recovery,” said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at foreign exchange firm Cambridge Global Payments.

Lessons from the military for COVID-time leadership (McKinsey) Published on: May 20, 2020 | Category: Leadership

In this article, we offer six lessons that have proved valuable in the military context and that adapt well to other kinds of organizations.
Militaries recognize that morale, unit cohesion, mental health, and family stability affect performance.
Military leaders are obsessive about planning: they know that the battlefield is always an uncertain environment, so they continually test their ideas.

Iceland plans to welcome back tourists by June 15 (Washington Post) Published on: May 20, 2020 | Category: Global Response

The country will welcome travelers from all over the world, including the United States, but will subject visitors to either testing or quarantine.
In addition, the government will not allow visitors to venture into wider Europe without permission from the other countries.
Upon arrival at Keflavik International Airport, visitors will be tested for the coronavirus at no cost during a two-week trial period.

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